Former Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva retains a 14-point lead over outgoing head of state Jair Bolsonaro in voting intentions and can hope to win in the first round on Sunday , according to a poll released Thursday.
According to the benchmark institute Datafolha, Lula received 48% of voting intentions, compared to 47% a week ago, and Bolsonaro also rose by one point, to 34%.
Both favorites increased their lead over third-placed Ciro Gomes (centre left) from 7% to 6% and Simone Tebet (centre right) stable at 5%.
Lula, who already governed Brazil from 2003 to 2010, can be elected for a third term in the first round if he obtains more than 50% of the votes cast (without nulls or whites).
According to Datafolha's count, he is precisely credited with 50% of these voting intentions expressed, as a week ago, against 36% for the far-right president (35% in the last poll).
This score from the left-wing ex-president remains within the poll's margin of error (+ or — 2 percentage points), leaving uncertainty hanging over the holding of a second round on October 30 .
In a second round, Lula would win with 54% of the vote, against 39% for Bolsonaro, according to Datafolha.
“It is difficult to make any predictions (on a victory or not in the first round of Lula), even if the polls give him a comfortable advantage,” Jairo Nicolau, political scientist at the Getulio Vargas Foundation, told AFP.
This opinion poll was carried out among 6,800 respondents, more than for the previous ones, and a final poll will be published by Datafolha on Saturday.
In a poll published Monday by the Ipec institute, Lula had obtained 52% of the express votes. imés, against 34% for Bolsonaro.
Katrine Johns has been a reporter on the news desk since 2013. Before that she wrote about young adolescence and family dynamics for Styles and was the legal affairs correspondent for the Metro desk. Before joining The Gal Post, Katrine Johns worked as a staff writer at the Village Voice and a freelancer for Newsday, The Wall Street Journal, GQ and Mirabella. To get in touch, contact me through my firstname.lastname@example.org 1-800-268-7128