It all depends on the weather

Weather dependent


ST ANDREWS, Scotland | Looking at the rather capricious weather reports on the eve of the British Open, it is difficult to identify both the eventual champion and the winning score.

Everything depends on the whims of Mother Nature around the North Sea. For the past few weeks, it has been relatively lenient. This allowed the competition committee to prepare a very firm and incredibly fast Old Course. 

This means that whoever lifts the Claret Jug will have to perfectly control his ball and his distances on the course of 7313 yards strewn with 112 sand traps. Because when hitting hard ground like the concrete of a highway, the ball does not stop so easily in the aisles. 

We can thus predict that the eventual champion should be a veteran or a golfer who is not on his first visit to St Andrews. 

Having surveyed it in other tournaments, Rory McIlroy sparkled with a 63 (-9) card at the 2010 Open. 

Five years later, Australia's Marc Leishman lost in overtime . He certainly wants revenge if his putter cooperates. 

And Ireland's Shane Lowry excels in windy conditions.

Experience, creativity and imagination will essential qualities on the Old Course.

In fact, only four men managed to win on their first appearance. The last to do so was Tony Lema, beating Jack Nicklaus at the finish line in 1964. 

But we must not automatically exclude Justin Thomas, guided by none other than the cadet veteran Jim “Bones” Mackay, who knows the course like the back of his hand. 

Or Xander Schauffele, who won the Scottish Open last week and finished second at the Open at Carnoustie, across the River Tay, in 2018. 

Or Scottie Scheffler, who scored a top 10 last year at Royal St George, and Will Zalatoris, who always manages to fight his way into the main draw of a Grand Slam.

< p>Not forgetting Tiger

In short, the suitors are numerous. Even Tiger Woods could surprise on one of his favorite playing fields. He believes in his chances, and his rivals believe he can, without a shadow of a doubt, chase the lead. 

If the wind drops and the rain doesn't soften the fairways and greens, a winning score of around -15 is predicted. Showers are forecast to drop less than 5mm over the next four days.

Conditions will therefore remain firm and fast for this spectacular 150th Open.

Shane Lowry

35 years old | Ireland

Presence at the Open: 10e

Best result: Champion 2019 

Avg. on par 4 (2022): 3.99 (22e)

Hit gained on the board (2022 ): 1.615 (8th)

Best round at the Open: 63 (-8) in 2019

Justin Thomas

29 years old | United States

Open appearance: 6e

Best result: 11e (2019)

Avg. on par 4 (2022): 3.93 (1st) 

Avg. birdies per round: 4.72 (1er)

Avg. putts per hole: 1.701 (3e)

Rory McIlroy

33 years old | Northern Ireland

Presence at the Open: 13e< /strong>

Best result: Champion 2014

Avg. on par 4 (2022): 3.98 (10th)

Average score this season: 68.63 (1er)

Best round at St Andrews: 63 (-9) in 2010< /strong>

Marc Leishman

38 years old | Australia

Presence at the Open: 11e

Best result: 2e (2015)

Avg. on par 4 (2022): 3.99 (22e)

Avg. putts per round in 2015: 28 (1er)

Best round at St Andrews: 64 ( -8) in 2015